Exchange controls, like currency devaluations, form a part of expenditure-switching policy package. Because, they, too, like devaluation, aim at directing domestic spending away from foreign supplies and investment. Exchange controls try to divert domestic spending into consumption of domestically produced goods and services on the one hand and into domestic investment on the other. Exchange controls represent the most drastic means of BOP adjustment. A full-fledged system of exchange controls establishes a complete government control over the foreign exchange market of the country. Foreign exchange earned from exports and other sources must be surrendered to the government authorities. The available supply of foreign exchange is then allocated among the various buyers (importers) according to the criterion of national needs and established priorities. From a purely BOP standpoint, the sole purpose of exchange controls, is to ration out the available supply of foreign exchange in accordance with national interests. There are Continue reading
Exchange Rate System
Fixed Exchange Rates, 1945-1973
Fixed Exchange Rates, 1945-1973 The currency arrangement negotiated at Bretton Woods and monitored by the IMF worked fairly well during the post-World War II period of reconstruction and rapid growth in world trade. However, widely diverging national monetary and fiscal policies, differential rates of inflation, and various unexpected external shocks eventually resulted in the system‘s demise. The U.S. dollar was the main reserve currency held by central banks and was the key to the web of exchange rate values. Unfortunately, the United States ran persistent and growing deficits on its balance of payments. A heavy capital outflow of dollars was required to finance these deficits and to meet the growing demand for dollars from investors and businesses. Eventually, the heavy overhang of dollars held abroad resulted in a lack of confidence in the ability of the United States to meet its commitment to convert dollars to gold. On August 15, Continue reading
History of Exchange Rate Mechanism in India
India was a founder member of the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It followed the fixed parity system till the early 1970s as a result which the value of the rupee in terms of gold was originally fixed as the equivalent of 0.268601 gram of fine gold. In view of India’s long economic and political relations with England and membership of the sterling area from September 1939 to June 1972, the rupee was pegged to the pound sterling. The exchange rate was thus remained unchanged but the gold content of the rupee fell to 0.186621 gram. Again, with the devaluation of the Indian rupee in June 1996 the gold content fell further to 0.118489 gram. The following year, the pound was also devalued. This devaluation did have an impact on the rupee pound link, but the rupee was kept stable in terms of the pound. The latter continued as an intervention Continue reading
Scenario of Exchange Rates in India
India is following the direct rate in Forex markets, i.e. foreign currency is fixed and home currency is varying. When we go to a shop and ask for the price of a product he tells us only one rate for the product, because the trader is only selling the product to consumers. He is not buying from consumers. Whatever rate the seller tells is implied as his selling price for the product. Even though the consumer is buying a product, what he pays to the trader is the selling price of the trader. Foreign Exchange market is different from this market in the sense that the authorized dealer buys as well as sells the foreign currency. Banks and financial institutes authorized by RBI to sell the foreign currency are called as Authorized Dealers. When you ask the rate of a foreign currency from an authorized dealer, he quotes two- way Continue reading
International Fisher Effect
According to the Relative Version of Purchasing Power Parity Theory (PPP) one of the factors leading to change in exchange rate between currencies is inflation in the respective countries. As long as the inflation rate in the two countries remains equal, the exchange rate between the currencies would not be affected. When a difference or deviation arises in the inflation levels of the two countries, the exchange rate would be adjusted to reflect the inflation rate differential between the countries. The International Fisher Effect (IFE) theory is an important concept in the fields of economics and finance that links interest rates, inflation and exchange rates. Similar to the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory, IFE attributes changes in exchange rate to interest rate differentials, rather than inflation rate differentials among countries. Nominal interest rates would automatically reflect differences in inflation by a purchasing power parity or no-arbitrage system. The two theories Continue reading
Exchange Rate Pass-Through
According to Bhagawati (1991) the phrase “pass-through” was first used in economics literature by Steve Magee (1973) in his paper while explaining the impact of currency depreciation. Since then the concept has been widely used in the literature. In the case of international trade the suppliers of commodities deal with two currencies, the domestic currency against which commodities are procured, and the destination currency, the currencies of the importing country. Similarly, the importers of the commodities also face two currencies. With the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System in 1973, the international financial system opted largely for the flexible exchange rate system. Along with this world has witnessed an increasing degree of volatility. When a particular currency depreciates vis-Ã -vis US dollar, then the prices of traded goods denominated in the depreciation currency will increase. Suppose the depreciating currency is the Indian rupee and the Continue reading